Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Nov 7, 2026 1.00am
0
0
HT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • yellowcard Thiago Santamaría 45'

Tigre vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 10.00pm
Huracan 0 - 2 Tigre
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ignacio Russo

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.15am
Sarmiento 1 - 2 Rosario
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tigre win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw has a probability of 26.15% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Sarmiento win it is 0-1 (8.27%).

Result

Tigre 49.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Sarmiento 24.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.29% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.82% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 31.18% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 43.18% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 56.82% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 22.1% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 77.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 11.68% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 88.32% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Tigre 33.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 49.1%
Sarmiento 17.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Tigre 58.49% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 9.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Sarmiento 32.5% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 48.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 39.42% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 36.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 51.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 26.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 73.3% ▲ (+0.07)

Tigre Goals

Over 1.5 42.05% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 57.95% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 17.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 57.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 92.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Tigre 49.58%
Draw 26.17%
Sarmiento 24.26%
Tigre
1-0 @ 13.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1%
Other @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 49.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.17%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.26%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Apr 25, 2026 11.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Nicolás Pasquini 10' goal
  • Julián Contrera 62' yellowcard
  • Manuel García 77' yellowcard
  • Diego Churín 77' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Díaz 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago López 31'
  • yellowcard Tiago Serrago 46'
  • yellowcard Marco Antonio Rivas Rojas 75'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 75'
  • yellowcard Marco Antonio Rivas Rojas 76'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Manuel Fernández 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Aug 18, 2024 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Joaquin Gho 65' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Banegas 40'
  • yellowcard Martin Ortega 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jan 25, 2024 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
  • yellowcard Fernando Godoy 17'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Amarilla 26'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 32'
  • yellowcard Diego Calcaterra 77'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Regatas San Nicolas
  • Franco Paredes 23' goal
  • Gonzalo Bettini 44' yellowcard
  • Jose Devecchi 50' yellowcard
  • Sergio Quiroga 54' yellowcard
  • Diego Calcaterra 63' goal
  • Fernando Martinez Rojas 66' yellowcard
  • Diego Calcaterra 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Menossi 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 70'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • Blas Armoa 36' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Oct 4, 2022 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Javier Toledo 16' goal
  • Luciano Gondou 85' goal
  • goal Blas Armoa 40'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 44'