Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2026 6.30pm
Estadio José María Minella

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldosivi

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 4, 2026 6.45pm
Huracan 1 - 0 Aldosivi
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Andrés Vombergar

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 1.15am
Racing 3 - 1 Sarmiento
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aldosivi win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw has a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aldosivi win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.62%) , while for a Sarmiento win it is 0-1 (8.74%).

Result

Aldosivi 46.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Sarmiento 26.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.04% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 56.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 22.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.11% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Aldosivi 28.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 52.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Sarmiento 19.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Aldosivi 52.97%
No Goal 9.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Sarmiento 37.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 32.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 43.48% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 12.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 32.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 10.5 67.72% ▲ (+0.13)

Aldosivi Goals

Over 1.5 40.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 59.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 40.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.82%
Under 1.5 75.18%
Over 2.5 7.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.84%
Under 3.5 98.16%

Score analysis

Aldosivi 46.28%
Draw 27.39%
Sarmiento 26.28%
Aldosivi
1-0 @ 13.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.39%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.28%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 22, 2026 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Cristian Zabala 45' goal
  • Santiago Salle 71' yellowcard
  • Julián Contrera 77' yellowcard
  • Junior Marabel 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Facundo Alaggia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pablo Magnin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Natanael Guzmán 46'
  • yellowcard Esteban Rolón 57'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Enrique 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Cordero 67'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Villarreal 76'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Villarreal 77'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 14, 2025 1.15am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 1, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jose Maria Minella
  • Elias Torres 3' goal
  • Franco Rami 7' goal
  • Marcelo Esponda 54' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Guerrico 69' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Morales 23'
  • yellowcard Santiago Morales 28'
  • goal Valentin Burgoa 37'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 64'
  • yellowcard Federico Paradela 89'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 17
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Martin Cauteruccio 47' goal
  • Javier Iritier 77' yellowcard
  • Santiago Silva 83' yellowcard
  • Leandro Maciel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Gondou 16'
  • goal Lisandro Lopez 63'
  • yellowcard Federico Rasmussen 67'
  • yellowcard Gaston Sauro 84'
  • yellowcard Lucas Castro 90'+4'
Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 9, 2021 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Torres 30' yellowcard
  • Luciano Gondou 37' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 39' yellowcard
  • Braian Salvareschi 63' goal
  • Yair Arismendi 82' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Insua 22'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Iniguez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 56'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Insua 75'