Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
11
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fsarlog.png)
-
Julián Contrera
15'
-
Pablo Magnin
61'
-
Julián Contrera
69'
-
Manuel García
89'
-
Tobías Andrada
70'
-
Gonzalo Montiel
71'
-
Fausto Vera
82'
Sarmiento vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.66% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Sarmiento
19.88%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
28.66%
▲
(+0.04)
River Plate
51.46%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
41.93%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 1.5
63.69%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
36.31%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 2.5
36.7%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
63.3%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
16.77%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
83.23%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
8.36%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
91.64%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Sarmiento
18.09%
Draw
49.82%
River Plate
32.09%
Team To Score First
Sarmiento
33.08%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
11.91%
▲
(+0.10)
River Plate
55.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
46.79%
Equal 8
12.42%
Under 8
40.78%
Over 9
35.19%
Equal 9
11.61%
Under 9
53.21%
Over 10.5
25.24%
Under 10.5
74.76%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 1.5
16.95%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
83.05%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
3.47%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
96.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
0.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
99.39%
▲
(+0.02)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5
74.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
25.22%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
40.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
59.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
15.65%
Under 2.5
84.35%
Over 3.5
4.79%
Under 3.5
95.21%
Score analysis
Sarmiento
19.87%
Draw
28.67%
River Plate
51.48%
Sarmiento
1-0
@
8.68%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.87%
2-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.87%
Draw
1-1
@
12.95%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.67%
0-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.67%
River Plate
0-1
@
15.74%
▲
(+0.10)
0-2 @ 10.81% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 51.48%
0-2 @ 10.81% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 51.48%
Head to Head
Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
11
Mar 15, 2026 10.45pm
2
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
-
Sebastián Driussi
41'
-
Joaquín Freitas
46'
-
Juan Fernando Quintero
61'
-
Ian Subiabre
71'
-
Kevin Castaño
72'
-
Paulo Díaz
81'
-
Maximiliano Salas
81'
-
Diego Churín
60'
-
Juan Manuel Cabrera
67'
-
Santiago Salle
67'
-
Yair Arismendi
67'
-
Jonatan Gómez
88'
Argentine Primera Division
Copa Diego Maradona
Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
12
-
Carlos Villalba
16'
-
Carlos Villalba
16'
-
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
44'
-
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
44'
-
Renzo Orihuela
72'
-
Renzo Orihuela
72'
-
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
14'
-
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
14'
-
Miguel Borja
30'
-
Miguel Borja
30'
-
Kevin Castano
69'
-
Kevin Castano
69'
-
Facundo Colidio
79'
-
Facundo Colidio
79'
Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
8
Jul 28, 2024 10.30pm
1
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
-
Franco Mastantuono
87'
-
Juan Andrada
86'
Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
8
-
Lucas Beltran
7'
-
Agustin Palavecino
74'
Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
11
-
Milton Casco
27'
-
Emanuel Mammana
67'
-
Emiliano Mendez
25'
-
Guido Mainero
31'
-
Federico Andueza
45'
-
Sebastian Meza
54'
-
Lucas Castro
82'