Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Oct 31, 2026 12.15am
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Sarmiento vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 23, 2026 10.00pm
Gimnasia 2 - 0 Sarmiento
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 1.30am
Rosario 2 - 0 Huracan
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Angel di Maria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw has a probability of 29.48% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.65%) , while for a Sarmiento win it is 1-0 (9.45%).

Result

Sarmiento 26.47% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 29.48% ▲ (+0.34)
Rosario Central 44.05% ▼ (-1.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.7% ▲ (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 39.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 60.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 19.26% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 80.74% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 4.5 9.5% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 90.5% ▼ (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Sarmiento 20.4% ▼ (-1.43)
Draw 47.24% ▲ (+1.70)
Rosario Central 32.36% ▼ (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Sarmiento 36.91% ▲ (+0.48)
No Goal 10.72% ▲ (+0.19)
Rosario Central 52.37% ▼ (-0.67)

Corners

Over 8 52.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 36.47% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 9 41.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 47.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 31.22%
Under 10.5 68.78%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 1.5 23.92% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 1.5 76.08% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 2.5 7.09% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 2.5 92.91% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 3.5 1.63% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 98.37% ▼ (-0.23)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 72.31% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 27.69% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 37.27% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 1.5 62.73% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 2.5 13.99% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 86.01% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sarmiento 26.47%
Draw 29.49%
Rosario Central 44.05%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 26.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.65%
0-0 @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 29.49%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.25)
1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.30)
0-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 44.05%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 20, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Alejo Veliz 42' goal
  • Emanuel Coronel 63' yellowcard
  • Alexis Soto 63' yellowcard
  • Ángel Di María 69' yellowcard
  • Enzo Copetti 70' yellowcard
  • Gaspar Duarte 76' yellowcard
  • Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Churín 60'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Díaz 60'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Gómez 71'
  • goal Jonatan Gómez 77'
  • yellowcard Manuel García 87'
  • yellowcard Facundo Alaggia 87'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 30, 2025 11.15pm
0
0
Suspnd.
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 23, 2025 12.45am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
  • Agustin Sandez 6' goal
  • Agustin Sandez 6' goal
  • Enzo Copetti 83' yellowcard
  • Enzo Copetti 83' yellowcard
  • Agustin Sandez 88' yellowcard
  • Agustin Sandez 88' yellowcard
  • Victor Malcorra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Victor Malcorra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 48'
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 48'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 55'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 55'
  • yellowcard Elian Ezequiel Gimenez 77'
  • yellowcard Elian Ezequiel Gimenez 77'
  • redcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 90'+6'
  • redcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 20, 2024 1.00am
4
2
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
  • Agustin Modica 22' goal
  • Agustin Modica 22' goal
  • Agustin Modica 36' goal
  • Agustin Modica 36' goal
  • Alan Rodriguez 38' goal
  • Alan Rodriguez 38' goal
  • Lautaro Giaccone 79' goal
  • Lautaro Giaccone 79' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 36'
  • yellowcard Matias Gabriel Rosales 45'
  • yellowcard Matias Gabriel Rosales 45'
  • goal Emiliano Mendez 46'
  • goal Emiliano Mendez 46'
  • goal Joaquin Gho 83'
  • goal Joaquin Gho 83'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 3, 2023 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javier Toledo 70' goal
  • Lisandro Lopez 79' goal
  • Lucas Melano 83' goal
  • Lisandro Lopez 88' goal
  • goal Gino Infantino 7'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 9, 2022 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Facundo Buonanotte 77' goal
  • redcard Franco Quinteros 30'
  • yellowcard Sergio Quiroga 61'
  • yellowcard Gaston Sauro 85'