Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Oct 11, 2026 9.00pm
Estadio 15 de Abril

Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 1.15am
Banfield 1 - 1 Rosario
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Angel di Maria

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 1.30am
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Gimnasia
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fabrizio Sartori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia has a probability of 28.66% and a draw has a probability of 28.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win is 0-1 (10.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.75%).

Result

Rosario Central 42.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 28.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Independiente Rivadavia 28.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.1% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 35.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 37.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 62.49% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 17.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 82.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 91.72% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rosario Central 36.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 45.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Independiente Rivadavia 17.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rosario Central 55.36% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Independiente Rivadavia 33.82%

Corners

Over 8 58.27% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 8 10.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.85% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 9 47.14% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 41.73% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 10.5 36.64% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 63.36% ▼ (-0.11)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 1.5 33.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.43%
Under 3.5 96.57%

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 59.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.74%
Under 3.5 98.26%

Score analysis

Rosario Central 42.76%
Draw 28.59%
Independiente Rivadavia 28.67%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 14.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-0 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 42.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.75% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.59%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 23, 2026 1.15am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Luciano Gómez 16' goal
  • Álex Arce  29' goal
  • Matías Fernández 71' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 82' yellowcard
  • Leonard Costa 89' yellowcard
  • Diego Crego 89' yellowcard
  • Juan Elordi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 61'
  • yellowcard Gaspar Duarte 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Soto 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Nov 5, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Victorio Ramis 3' goal
  • Victorio Ramis 3' goal
  • Mauricio Cardillo 35' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Cardillo 35' yellowcard
  • Imanol Segovia 87' yellowcard
  • Imanol Segovia 87' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Quintana 12'
  • goal Carlos Quintana 12'
  • yellowcard Samuel Beltran 26'
  • yellowcard Samuel Beltran 26'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 29'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 29'
  • yellowcard Elias Ocampo 60'
  • yellowcard Elias Ocampo 60'
  • yellowcard Kevin Ortiz 83'
  • yellowcard Marco Ruben 83'
  • yellowcard Kevin Ortiz 83'
  • yellowcard Marco Ruben 83'
  • yellowcard Juan Gimenez 88'
  • yellowcard Juan Gimenez 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2024 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
  • Miguel Angel Russo 0' redcard
  • Kevin Ortiz 27' yellowcard
  • Miguel Angel Russo 28' yellowcard
  • Tobias Cervera 52' goal
  • Victor Malcorra 65' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Coronel 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Arce 48'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 90'+1'