Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22

Nov 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Castillo (10')
Max (13'), Martinez (90+4'), Cabral (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martino (18'), Perez (47'), Jacob (85'), Tica (90+6'), Salcedo (90')
Garayalde (71')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, November 5 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-4 Huracan
Wednesday, November 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.61%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
41.25% ( -0.11)	30.57% ( -0.02)	28.18% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 39.24% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.17% (

0.09)

67.83% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.18% (

0.06)

85.82% (

-0.06)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

-0.02)

32.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-0.02)

69.1% (

0.02)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.19% (

0.17)

41.81% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.73% (

0.14)

78.27% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 41.24%

Newell's Old Boys 28.18%

Draw 30.57%

Gimnasia	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.24%	0-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.57%	0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.18% Total : 28.18%