Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 36.96%. A draw had a probability of 33.2% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 29.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 2-1 (6.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.18%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (14.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood.