MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 22:42:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Oct 14, 2022 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 0
Union

Alanis (28')
Cardona (11'), Soto (48'), Ortiz (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Calderon (90+4'), Mele (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Defensa
Monday, October 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, October 8 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawUnion
44.57% (-0.944 -0.94) 26.08% (0.224 0.22) 29.35% (0.719 0.72)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.554 -0.55)52.28% (0.554 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.478 -0.48)73.98% (0.479 0.48)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)23.36% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (-1.001 -1)57.34% (1.002 1)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (0.245 0.25)32.35% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (0.278 0.28)68.86% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 44.57%
    Union 29.35%
    Draw 26.08%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawUnion
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 44.57%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.242 0.24)
1-2 @ 7% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.35%

Head to Head
May 2, 2022 11pm
Union
1-2
Defensa
Peralta (76')
Polenta (54'), Corvalan (66')
Rotondi (15'), Pizzini (57')
Bou (19'), Hachen (42'), Rotondi (82'), Unsain (90+1'), Tripichio (90+3')
Nov 18, 2021 8pm
Union
2-3
Defensa
Britez (42'), Corvalan (45+10')
Corvalan (47'), Manuel Garcia (51')
Merentiel (19'), Bou (55', 66')
Tripichio (42')
May 2, 2021 4.10pm
Defensa
0-1
Union

Ortiz (1'), Breitenbruch (36')
Zenon (84')
Blasi (53'), Acevedo (86')
Aug 4, 2019 3pm
Union
2-1
Defensa
Bou (33'), Gomez (56')
Bonifacio (41'), Bottinelli (45')
Marquez (47')
Piovi (40'), Castro (74'), Gonzalez (79'), Mainero (94')
Mar 31, 2019 10.10pm
Defensa
1-1
Union
Rojas (98')
Blanco (95')
Lotti (90')
Zabala (45'), Fernandez (86')
rhs 2.0
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