Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2026 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Leandro Fernández 38' goal
  • Maximiliano Porcel 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 24'
  • goal Maximiliano Meza 44'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Banegas 52'
  • yellowcard Santiago Montiel 61'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Valdez 68'
  • yellowcard Juan Miguel Arrayago 79'

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 9.00pm
Talleres 1 - 2 Defensa
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Juan Gutierrez

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 8.00pm
Independiente 0 - 1 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Defensa y Justicia 38.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Independiente 34.79% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.71% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.76% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 27.24% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 48.29% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 51.71% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 25.92% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 74.08% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 13.78% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 86.22% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Defensa y Justicia 28.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 47.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Independiente 24.44% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Defensa y Justicia 50.01% ▼ (-0.24)
No Goal 7.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Independiente 42.13% ▲ (+0.31)

Corners

Over 8 58.27% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 30.1% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 9 46.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 41.73% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 10.5 35.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 64.77% ▲ (+0.08)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 1.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 62.73% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 14.52% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 85.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 68.39% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.61% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 33.99% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.01% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 12.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Defensa y Justicia 38.79%
Draw 26.44%
Independiente 34.79%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 38.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.44%
Independiente
0-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 34.79%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 18, 2026 11.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Maximiliano Gutiérrez 14' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Ávalos 15' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Gutiérrez 29' goal
  • Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 68' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Montiel 75' yellowcard
  • Felipe Tempone 84' yellowcard
  • Felipe Tempone 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Aarón Molinas 8'
  • yellowcard César Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Éver Banega 71'
  • yellowcard Darío Cáceres 71'
  • yellowcard Agustín Hausch 71'
  • yellowcard David Fernández 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 4, 2024 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Kevin Gutierrez 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutierrez 57' yellowcard
  • Aaron Molinas 64' yellowcard
  • Aaron Molinas 64' yellowcard
  • Dario Caceres 81' yellowcard
  • Dario Caceres 81' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Aguilera 86' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 15'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 15'
  • goal Juan Manuel Fedorco 28'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Avalos 40'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Avalos 40'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 52'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 52'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 54'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 54'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'+2'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 20, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 7'
  • goal Santiago Solari 33'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Manuel Duarte 28' goal
  • Manuel Duarte 33' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutierrez 51' yellowcard
  • Adonis Frias 64' goal
  • Kevin Gutierrez 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 13'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 62'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pozzo 64'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 72'
  • goal Alex Vigo 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 90'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alan Velasco 29' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 29' yellowcard
  • Domingo Blanco 82' yellowcard
  • Domingo Blanco 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tripichio 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Contreras 26'
  • yellowcard Kevin Gutierrez 38'
  • yellowcard Hugo Silva 53'
  • yellowcard Alexis Soto 57'
  • yellowcard Braian Rivero 65'
Copa Diego Maradona
Apr 18, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Barreto 77' goal
  • Sebastian Palacios 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 18'
  • yellowcard Francisco Pizzini 47'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Escalante 90'+6'