Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Oct 10, 2026 1.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Joaquín Mosqueira 8' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ayala 67' yellowcard
  • Julián Palacios 71' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 78' yellowcard
  • Cristian Tarragona 85' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Gutiérrez 43'
  • goal César Pérez 45'
  • yellowcard Jeremías Lucco 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernández 66'
  • redcard Santiago Sosa 76'

Union vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 1.30am
Boca Juniors 3 - 0 Union
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Cristian Tarragona

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 6.45pm
Defensa 3 - 0 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Juan Gutierrez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%) , while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Union 48.62% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 26.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Defensa y Justicia 24.79% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 29.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.86% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Union 31.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 50.72%
Defensa y Justicia 17.68%

Team To Score First

Union 59.11% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Defensa y Justicia 32.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 32.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 43.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 32.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Union Goals

Over 1.5 42.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 59.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 40.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 24.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 75.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 7.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Union 48.63%
Draw 26.6%
Defensa y Justicia 24.78%
Union
1-0 @ 13.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.6%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.78%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 21, 2026 8.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Julián López 46' yellowcard
  • Luciano González 56' yellowcard
  • Darío Cáceres 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Souto 70' goal
  • Juan Gutiérrez 79' goal
  • Samuel Lucero 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Misael Aguirre 69'
  • yellowcard Santiago Grella Raviolo 69'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Álvarez 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Palavecino 74'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 21, 2025 11.15pm
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2025 2.00pm
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 14, 2025 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Ezequiel Cannavo 37' yellowcard
  • Matias Ramirez 48' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martinez 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Dec 15, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • yellowcard Francisco Gerometta 34'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Mar 10, 2024 10.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Nicolas Tripichio 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 34' goal
  • Santiago Ramos Mingo 35' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 62' goal
  • Nicolas Fernandez 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Balboa 42'