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America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Independencia
Flamengo

America Mineiro
1 - 1
Flamengo

Egea (90+4')
Ademir (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michael (89')
Matheuzinho (65')

Preview: America Mineiro vs. Flamengo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

America Mineiro will be aiming to continue their recent upturn in form in the Brasileiro when they host reigning champions Flamengo on Sunday.

Coelho sit 16th in the table, outside the relegation zone on goal difference, while Rubro-Negro are in third place.


Match preview

Corinthians manager Vagner Mancini pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Following promotion from the second tier last season, it has not been an easy ride for America Mineiro, who switched managers just three games into the campaign after a 2-0 loss to Sunday's opponents Flamengo.

Vagner Mancini replaced Lisca in the dugout and is finally beginning to turn around the club's fortunes; they are currently on a four-game unbeaten run and have won their last two home matches.

On Wednesday, Coelho drew 0-0 with Sao Paulo to move out of the relegation zone, and will now be targeting a fifth consecutive game without defeat for the first time this season.

Despite their position in the table, only Sport Recife and Atletico Mineiro have conceded fewer home goals this season than America Mineiro (seven).

Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their third goal with Filipe Luis and teammates on August 1, 2021© Reuters

Flamengo will put that record to the test on Sunday as Rubro-Negro are the league's highest scorers with 35 goals to their name so far; they also have the second-best defence in the division.

Title winners in 2019 and 2020, Flamengo started the campaign in poor form before Renato Gaucho replaced Rogerio Ceni in the dugout in July.

Gaucho has lifted Flamengo to a Copa Libertadores spot, and they are currently 11 points behind leaders Atletico Mineiro with two games in hand.

A surprise 1-0 defeat to Gremio last weekend was Rubro-Negro's first defeat in five matches, but they bounced back with a 2-0 win over Barcelona SC in the Copa Libertadores in midweek.

Flamengo have won four of their last five matches away from home and have also picked up six victories in their last seven meetings with America Mineiro.

America Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Flamengo Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Flamengo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Gremio manager Renato Gaucho pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Lucas Kal is available again for America Mineiro after being ineligible to face parent club Sao Paulo on Wednesday.

Vagner Mancini is unlikely to make too many changes to his team, but Rodolfo and Alan Ruschel are pushing for starts.

Striker Ribamar has not scored in his last seven appearances, so may lose his place in the starting lineup.

David Luiz made his Flamengo debut in the Copa Libertadores in midweek and is expected to make his first league appearance on Sunday.

The former Arsenal defender should take the place of Rodrigo Caio, who picked up his third yellow card of the season in the closing stages against Gremio last weekend so is suspended.

Bruno Henrique scored both goals against Barcelona SC on Wednesday so is in contention to make his first league start since August 15.

America Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Cavichioli; Patric, Bauermann, Silva, Marlon; Ale, Kal; Ademir, Zarate, Azevedo; Ribamar

Flamengo possible starting lineup:
Alves; Isla, Luiz, L. Pereira, Rene; M. Pereira, Arao; Ribeiro, Vitinho, Henrique; Barbosa


SM words green background

We say: America Mineiro 1-2 Flamengo

Flamengo will be out to prove that defeat to Gremio last weekend was just a blip and we expect them to pick up all three points here. It will not be easy though, with America Mineiro becoming harder to beat in recent weeks.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:465174:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8552:
Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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