Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 1, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Strandvallen

Mjallby AIF
2 - 0
Varnamo

Johansson (74', 90+1')
Bergstrom (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Samuel Kalu (53'), Junior Adjei (69'), Bjornstrom (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Mjallby AIF and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 1-1 Mjallby AIF
Monday, May 26 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-1 Oster
Saturday, May 24 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
Mjallby AIFDrawVarnamo
55.18% (0.214 0.21)24.8% (-0.11 -0.11)20.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.46% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (0.29 0.29)54.75% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.238 0.24)76.06% (-0.239 -0.24)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (0.199 0.2)19.79% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.15% (0.32100000000001 0.32)51.85% (-0.32 -0.32)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92% (0.052999999999997 0.05)42.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)78.5% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mjallby AIF 55.18%
    Varnamo 20.02%
    Draw 24.79%
Mjallby AIFDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 13.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 24
Mjallby AIF
1-1
Varnamo
Zeljkovic (13')
Junior Adjei (24'), Lohikangas (65'), Bustos (80')
Jun 2, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Varnamo
1-2
Mjallby AIF
Samuel Kalu (73')
Junior Adjei (27'), Winsth (83')
Brorsson (1'), Bergstrom (64')
Brorsson (45+3'), Gustavsson (62')
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mjallby AIF
2-3
Varnamo
Fenger (8'), Baldvin Nokkvason (38')
Petersson (36'), Pettersson (79')
Zeljkovic (17'), Johansson (74' pen.), Engvall (87')
Grozdanic (2'), Eriksson (23')
Grozdanic (41')
Apr 10, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Varnamo
0-1
Mjallby AIF
Brorsson (27')
Oct 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Varnamo
2-1
Mjallby AIF
Antonsson (43'), Gracia (89' og.)