Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 24, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Nya Gamla Ullevi

GAIS
2 - 1
Sirius

Boudri (71'), Diabate (86')
Holmen (10'), Frej (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ure (66')
Mamatsashvili (23'), Vikman (72'), Walta (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between GAIS and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oster 1-1 GAIS
Sunday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 1-2 Norrkoping
Monday, May 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.

Result
GAISDrawSirius
56.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)22.47% (0.012 0.01)20.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)44.56% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)66.93% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
GAIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)15.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)44.31% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)35.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)72.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    GAIS 56.84%
    Sirius 20.67%
    Draw 22.47%
GAISDrawSirius
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.47%
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
GAIS
2-1
Sirius
Henriksson (8'), Becirovic (89')
Noren (34'), Henriksson (59')
Boudri (57')
Vikman (68')
Mattiasson (35'), Pyndt (45+2'), Castegren (58'), Vikman (59'), Heier (73')
Jul 13, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Sirius
3-1
GAIS
Castegren (40'), Heier (55'), Salech (90+2')
Castegren (24'), Lindberg (60'), Stensson (87'), Widgren (90+4')
Henriksson (51')
Boudri (24'), Henriksson (24')
rhs 2.0


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