Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.