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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2020 at 9pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Eibar logo

Alaves
2 - 1
Eibar

Mendez (41'), Deyverson (45+2')
Mendez (38'), Battaglia (56'), Pina (62'), Laguardia (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leon (4')
Gil (81'), Arieta (88')

Preview: Alaves vs. Eibar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alaves and Eibar square off in La Liga on Wednesday evening with just one point separating the teams in the standings.

However, both teams suffered defeats at the weekend, leaving them within another setback of dropping into the relegation zone.


Match preview

Alaves manager Pablo Machin pictured in October 2020© Reuters

After their surprise win away at champions Real Madrid, Alaves would have expected to kick on in their following games as they bid to move away from trouble.

However, Babazorros have failed to score in their last three matches, restricting the club to just one point from fixtures against Real Sociedad, Huesca and Celta Vigo.

While Alaves remain outside of the relegation zone on goal difference, Pablo Machin will be concerned that his players are only raising their game against the bigger clubs.

Conceding just 16 goals in 14 matches is an excellent return for a club of their size, but none of this squad has netted more than three times at the other end in La Liga.

Finding the back of the net has also been a long-term issue for Eibar, with 10 goals the joint-worst return in Spain's top flight.

Possessing the third-best backline has ensured that Los Armeros currently sit outside of the bottom three, although there is now small margin for error for Jose Luis Mendilibar's squad.

To their credit, they have suffered just two defeats from 11 matches in all competitions, the most recent coming on Sunday as they lost out to Real Madrid by a 3-1 scoreline.

A second successive defeat would leave Eibar at risk of being in the relegation zone at the turn of the year, although Mendilibar may prefer to view this game as the perfect opportunity to make significant progress towards the top half of the table.

Alaves La Liga form: DDWDLL
Alaves form (all competitions): DWDLWL

Eibar La Liga form: DDWDDL
Eibar form (all competitions): DWDDWL


Team News

Eibar boss Jose Luis Mendilibar pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Eibar boss Mendilibar will be able to call upon Esteban Burgos after the defender completed his suspension.

Aside from Anaitz Arbilla reverting to left-back, the remainder of the starting XI could remain the same.

Alaves head coach Machin will be unable to select Rodrigo Ely, who suffered a knee issue at the weekend.

Victor Laguardia is likely to take his place in the middle of the backline.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Lejeune, Duarte; Jota, Pina, Battaglia, Rioja; Perez, Joselu

Eibar possible starting lineup:
Dmitrovic; Pozo, Burgos, Bigas, Arbilla; Inui, Exposito, Diop, Gil; Garcia, Muto


SM words green background

We say: Alaves 1-1 Eibar

Avoiding defeat will be the priority of these two teams on Wednesday evening and we feel that the respective managers will achieve their objectives. With neither side having much success in the final third, expect a low-scoring draw to be played out.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.


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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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