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Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Apr 22, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Utrecht

Ajax
1 - 1
Utrecht

Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gustafson (13' pen.)

Preview: Ajax vs. FC Utrecht - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ajax play host to FC Utrecht on Thursday evening knowing that victory will put them on the brink of winning the Eredivisie title.

Meanwhile, the visitors, who currently sit in seventh position, realistically require maximum points if they want to remain in the hunt for a Europa League place.


Match preview

Ajax manager Erik Ten Hag pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Having been eliminated from the Europa League at the quarter-final stage, Ajax have fallen short in their bid to win the treble this season.

However, defeating Vitesse in the KNVB Beker final at the weekend helped ease that disappointment, putting the club on the brink of sealing a domestic double by the end of the week.

Victories over Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar will confirm their second successive title, reward for already winning 23 of their 28 top-flight fixtures since the start of the 2020-21 campaign.

Erik ten Hag was left disappointed with the level of performances against Heerenveen and RKC Waalwijk, his side only prevailing by one-goal margins.

Nevertheless, Sebastien Haller got back on the goal trail during those fixtures, taking his return to eight goals from 13 appearances since his January move from West Ham United.

From Utrecht's perspective, they will relish the opportunity to record a shock result having recently moved up to seventh position in the table.

Rene Hake will demand more from his players with a top-five finish still a target, but he will acknowledge that his side are heavy underdogs ahead of the game at the Johan Cruyff Arena.

Letting slip an early lead against rivals Feyenoord is likely to prove decisive in the hunt for the Europa League, although Hake's side still have the 4-1 triumph at ADO Den Haag fresh in their memories.

Top goalscorer Sander van de Streek has failed to get on the scoresheet in his last three outings.

Ajax Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Ajax form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

FC Utrecht Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Ajax's Perr Schuurs does not agree with that in the workplace on November 3, 2020© Reuters

Ten Hag may give consideration to resting a number of Ajax players with AZ to come three days later.

Perr Schuurs and David Neres are among the players who could be drafted into the starting lineup, but Daley Blind remains absent through injury.

With his squad well rested after an 11-day break from action, Utrecht boss Hake could stick with the side which started against Feyenoord.

Giovanni Troupee is in contention for a recall, while Eljero Elia was lively during his late appearance as a substitute in the previous fixture.

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Stekelenburg; Rensch, Timber, Schuurs, Tagliafico; Alvarez, Gravenberch; Neres, Klaassen, Tadic; Haller

FC Utrecht possible starting lineup:
Oelschlagel; Avest, Maarel, Janssen, Warmerdam; Overeem, Maher; Kerk, Gustafson, Boussaid; Streek


SM words green background

We say: Ajax 3-0 FC Utrecht

Now left to concentrate on retaining the league title, Ajax have no excuses when it comes to claiming the top-flight crown.

We expect the home side to cruise to victory in this contest, registering a clean sheet in the process.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:443930:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7597:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Ajax vs Utrecht

Ajax
85.7%
Draw
8.2%
FC Utrecht
6.1%
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Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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