AFC Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 26, 2026 1.45pm
Stadion Istiqlol

Neftchi vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.45pm
Neftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Al Ittihad

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 5.00pm
Al Shamal 1 - 1 Al Ittihad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Neftchi win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Al Ittihad has a probability of 31.84% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win is 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.17%).

Result

Neftchi 43.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 24.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Al Ittihad 31.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.59% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 43.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 20.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 79.69% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Neftchi 33.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 38.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Al Ittihad 28% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Neftchi 53.31% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Al Ittihad 40.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 50.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 38.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 60.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Neftchi Goals

Over 1.5 45.15%
Under 1.5 54.85%
Over 2.5 21.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 66.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 35.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.02% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Neftchi 43.3%
Draw 24.87%
Al Ittihad 31.83%
Neftchi
2-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.87%
Al Ittihad
1-2 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 31.83%