AFC Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 14, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Al Bayt Stadium
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 63' goal
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 87' yellowcard
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 90'+4'

Al Shamal vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shamal

All competitions

Al Ittihad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-0 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Al Shamal 30.72% ▼ (-4.04)
Draw 23.83% ▲ (+0.36)
Al Ittihad 45.42% ▲ (+3.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.52% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.18% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 1.5 19.82% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 2.5 59.18% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 2.5 40.82% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 3.5 39.31% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 3.5 60.69% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 4.5 24.62% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 4.5 75.38% ▲ (+0.82)

First Half Winner

Al Shamal 25.87% ▼ (-2.56)
Draw 36.05% ▲ (+2.30)
Al Ittihad 38.08% ▲ (+0.26)

Team To Score First

Al Shamal 39.17% ▼ (-2.54)
No Goal 5.48% ▲ (+0.25)
Al Ittihad 55.35% ▲ (+2.31)

Corners

Over 8 56.07% ▲ (+3.01)
Equal 8 11.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.5% ▼ (-3.00)
Over 9 44.59% ▲ (+2.79)
Equal 9 11.49% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 9 43.93% ▼ (-3.01)
Over 10.5 33.97% ▲ (+2.34)
Under 10.5 66.03% ▼ (-2.35)

Al Shamal Goals

Over 1.5 35.77% ▼ (-3.68)
Under 1.5 64.23% ▲ (+3.69)
Over 2.5 15.59% ▼ (-2.38)
Under 2.5 84.41% ▲ (+2.37)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▲ (+1.33)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 76.28% ▲ (+2.33)
Under 0.5 23.72% ▼ (-2.33)
Over 1.5 48.59% ▲ (+2.52)
Under 1.5 51.41% ▼ (-2.52)
Over 2.5 25.16% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 2.5 74.84% ▼ (-1.82)
Over 3.5 11.32% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 3.5 88.68% ▼ (-0.60)

Score analysis

Al Shamal 30.73%
Draw 23.83%
Al Ittihad 45.42%
Al Shamal
1-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.93)
2-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.44)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.54)
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-1.37)
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 23.83%
Al Ittihad
1-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.42)
0-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.82)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.69)
1-3 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.53)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.48)
Other @ 10.96% ▲ (+0.57)
Total : 45.42%