AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 10am UK
Jeonju World Cup Stadium

Jeonbuk
1 - 1
Ulsan

Song (4')
Seon-min (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Myung-jae (77')
Myung-jae (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's AFC Champions League clash between Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors and Ulsan Hyundai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Pohang Steelers 1-1 Jeonbuk
Tuesday, February 20 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Ulsan
Wednesday, February 21 at 9am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Ulsan Hyundai had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ulsan Hyundai win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Jeonbuk Hyundai MotorsDrawUlsan Hyundai
37.52% (0.064 0.06)25.95% (0.012 0.01)36.53% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)49.93% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)71.92% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.011000000000003 0.01)60.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)26.51% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)61.7% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 37.52%
    Ulsan Hyundai 36.53%
    Draw 25.95%
Jeonbuk Hyundai MotorsDrawUlsan Hyundai
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 36.53%

How you voted: Jeonbuk vs Ulsan

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
32.0%
Draw
4.0%
Ulsan Hyundai
64.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 11am
Quarter-Finals
Jeonbuk
2-3
Ulsan
Han (39'), Kunimoto (48')
Seung-ho (54'), Kunimoto (62')
Qazaishvili (13'), Yun (45+1'), Lee (101')
Bulthuis (59'), Yong-woo (64'), Hyung-min (120+3')