Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Charlie Brown 56' goal

Accrington Stanley vs Bury - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 0 - 3 Accrington

Bury

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bury win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bury win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Accrington Stanley 33.76% (-0.32)
Draw 25.37% (+0.06)
Bury 40.87% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.71% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.43% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 23.57% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 54.35% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 45.65% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 33% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 67% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 20.08% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 79.92% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 25.32% (-0.06)
Draw 40.68% (+0.04)
Bury 33.99% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 42.07% (-0.37)
No Goal 7.53% (+0.09)
Bury 50.4% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 55.68% (-0.19)
Equal 8 10.99% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.33% (+0.22)
Over 9 44.7% (-0.15)
Equal 9 10.98% (-0.04)
Under 9 44.32% (+0.19)
Over 10.5 34.56% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 65.44% (+0.11)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 36.01% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 63.99% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 15.87% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 84.13% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 5.72% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.28% (+0.13)

Bury Goals

Over 0.5 72% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 28% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 41.58% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 58.42% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 19.74% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.26% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.95% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.05% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 33.76%
Draw 25.37%
Bury 40.86%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.39% (-0.13)
Total : 33.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.02)
Total : 25.37%
Bury
0-1 @ 8.7% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.41% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.04)
Other @ 7.62% (+0.09)
Total : 40.86%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Wham Stadium (Accrington, Lancashire)
  • Jordan Clark 10' goal
  • Billy Kee 38' goal
  • Offrande Zanzala 42' yellowcard
  • Scott Brown 67' yellowcard
  • goal Dom Telford 55'
  • goal Nicky Maynard 57'
  • goal Dom Telford 74'
  • yellowcard Adam Thompson 76'
  • goal Danny Mayor 84'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Sep 1, 2015 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gerardo Bruna 83' goal
  • goal Hallam Hope 46'
  • goal Andrew Tutte 70'
League Two
Jan 27, 2015 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rob Atkinson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Cameron 68'
  • yellowcard Adam El-Abd 70'
  • goal Nathan Cameron 81'
League Two
Aug 30, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Rose 35' goal
  • Nathan Cameron 36' yellowcard
  • Jimmy McNulty 54' yellowcard
  • Danny Mayor 62' goal
  • Danny Mayor 62' yellowcard
  • Jimmy McNulty 70' redcard
  • goal Kai Naismith 19'
  • yellowcard Robert Atkinson 93'
League Two
Feb 18, 2014 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Laurence Wilson 32' redcard
  • Dean Winnard 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Mills 86'
League Two
Aug 17, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Craig Jones 20' yellowcard
  • Anton Forrester 28' goal
  • Jordan Sinnott 38' goal
  • Anton Forrester 54' yellowcard
  • Marlon Jackson 87' goal
  • yellowcard Peter Murphy 0'
  • redcard Danny Webber 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 59'
  • yellowcard Peter Murphy 90'