Club Friendlies 1
Aug 5, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Optus Stadium
  • Christopher Nkunku 84' goal
  • Pervis Estupiñán 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yann Bisseck 36'
  • goal Federico Dimarco 52'

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 2 - 2 AC Milan

Inter Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 12.30pm
Man City 1 - 1 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 36.37% (-0.11)
Draw 25.68% (+0.63)
Inter Milan 37.96% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.89% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 24.16% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 51.78% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 48.22% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 29.36% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 70.64% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 16.28% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 83.72% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 27.68% (+0.11)
Draw 40.79% (+0.14)
Inter Milan 31.53% (-0.24)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 42.73% (-0.28)
No Goal 6.65% (+0.33)
Inter Milan 50.62% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 49.78% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 37.85% (-0.08)
Over 9 37.94% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.01)
Under 9 50.22% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 27.56% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 72.44% (-0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 37.19% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 62.81% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 14.78% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 85.22% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 4.52% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.48% (+0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71.85% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 28.15% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 38.59% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 61.41% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 15.52% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 84.48% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 5.34% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 94.66% (+0.21)

Score analysis

AC Milan 36.36%
Draw 25.68%
Inter Milan 37.95%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.68% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.38% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.65% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.47% (-0.15)
Total : 36.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.27)
0-0 @ 6.65% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.05% (+0.04)
Total : 25.68%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 8.82% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.29% (-0.25)
Total : 37.95%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Pervis Estupiñán 35' goal
  • Niclas Füllkrug 73' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 73' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 59'
  • yellowcard Petar Sučić 59'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 68'
  • yellowcard Carlos Augusto 68'
  • yellowcard Andy Diouf 80'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Apr 23, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 36'
  • goal Luka Jovic 50'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 85'
Coppa Italia
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 47' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 53'
  • yellowcard Yann Aurel Bisseck 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 67'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 45' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 61'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 90'+3'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 6, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 47' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 51' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 72' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 89' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 57'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 80'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+3'