Europa League
Gameweek
1
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-
Strahinja Pavlović
11'
-
Dodi Lukébakio
16'
-
Souffian El Karouani
26'
-
Jhon Durán
37'
-
Jakub Kamiński
53'
-
Daniel Banjaqui
77'
-
Leandro Barreiro
84'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
90'+2'
AC Milan vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
31.7%
▲
(+0.44)
Draw
24.38%
▼
(-0.50)
Benfica
43.92%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
56.94%
▲
(+1.91)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.2%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
19.8%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 2.5
58.87%
▲
(+2.01)
Under 2.5
41.13%
▼
(-2.01)
Over 3.5
36.63%
▲
(+2.56)
Under 3.5
63.37%
▼
(-2.56)
Over 4.5
22.45%
▲
(+2.02)
Under 4.5
77.55%
▼
(-2.02)
First Half Winner
AC Milan
23.01%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
38.46%
▲
(+0.17)
Benfica
38.53%
▼
(-0.51)
Team To Score First
AC Milan
40.99%
▲
(+0.29)
No Goal
5.49%
▼
(-0.34)
Benfica
53.52%
▲
(+0.06)
Corners
Over 8
50.38%
▼
(-3.13)
Equal 8
11.5%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 8
38.12%
▲
(+3.97)
Over 9
39.32%
▼
(-2.05)
Equal 9
11.06%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 9
49.62%
▲
(+3.13)
Over 10.5
29.5%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 10.5
70.5%
▲
(+0.94)
AC Milan Goals
Over 1.5
36.88%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 1.5
63.12%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 2.5
15.72%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 2.5
84.28%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 3.5
5.24%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 3.5
94.76%
▼
(-0.52)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
76.59%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
23.41%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 1.5
47.34%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
52.66%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 2.5
23.52%
▲
(+1.29)
Under 2.5
76.48%
▼
(-1.29)
Over 3.5
9.81%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 3.5
90.19%
▼
(-1.00)
Score analysis
AC Milan
31.7%
Draw
24.38%
Benfica
43.91%
AC Milan
2-1
@
7.53%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.49)
Total : 31.7%
1-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.49)
Total : 31.7%
Draw
1-1
@
10.49%
▼
(-0.44)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 24.38%
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 24.38%
Benfica
1-2
@
8.48%
▼
(-0.25)
0-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.58)
0-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.31)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.95)
Total : 43.91%
0-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.58)
0-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.31)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.95)
Total : 43.91%