Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Matej Hradecky 66' yellowcard
  • Atte Sihvonen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Timo Zaal 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Østigård Ness 31'
  • yellowcard J. Skau 56'
  • goal Jim Myrevik 63'
  • yellowcard Gergő Kocsis 75'

TPS vs Jaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 1.00pm
TPS 0 - 3 Ilves
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 4.00pm
Lahti 1 - 1 Jaro
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Jaro win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

TPS 49.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Jaro 26.67% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 42.56% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 33.54% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 66.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 20% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

TPS 35.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 39.15% ▼ (-0.15)
Jaro 24.87% ▲ (+0.14)

Team To Score First

TPS 55.4% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Jaro 38.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 23.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 54.29% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 34.14% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 42.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 57.22% ▲ (+0.15)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 50.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 24.3% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 75.7% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 9.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.26% ▲ (+0.08)

Jaro Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 36.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 31.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.51%
Under 3.5 96.49%

Score analysis

TPS 49.24%
Draw 24.09%
Jaro 26.68%
TPS
2-1 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 49.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.09%
Jaro
1-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.68%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Albijon Muzaci 8' goal
  • Timo Zaal 47' goal
  • Albijon Muzaci 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Vidjeskog 22'
  • goal Herman Sjögrell 30'
  • goal Herman Sjögrell 39'
  • yellowcard Aron Bjonbäck 71'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Mendy 89'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Herman Sjögrell 32' goal
  • Herman Sjögrell 54' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • V. Vuorinen 68' yellowcard
  • Rudi Vikström 68' yellowcard
  • Jim Myrevik 68' yellowcard
  • Adam Vidjeskog 82' yellowcard
  • goal Albijon Muzaci 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 61'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard Lasse Ikonen 83'
  • yellowcard S. Anini 83'
  • goal Theodoros Tsirigotis 90'+1'