Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Koln in this match.