2.Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2026 5.30pm
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 5.30pm
Braunschweig 1 - 0 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 1 Greuther Furth
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Josip Brekalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.2%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 30.55% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 23.58%
Hertha Berlin 45.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.55% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 60.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 61.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 23.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 76.32% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 26.86%
Draw 36.29%
Hertha Berlin 36.86%

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 42.52% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Hertha Berlin 52.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.48%
Equal 8 10.1%
Under 8 22.42%
Over 9 56.36%
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 32.52%
Over 10.5 45.15%
Under 10.5 54.85%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 36.19% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 63.81% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 15.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 77.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 24.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 30.55%
Draw 23.59%
Hertha Berlin 45.9%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 30.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.59%
Hertha Berlin
1-2 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.37%
Other @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 45.9%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Apr 25, 2026 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Dawid Kownacki 67' yellowcard
  • Julian Eitschberger 80' yellowcard
  • Maurice Krattenmacher 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas Therkelsen 46'
  • goal Jonas Therkelsen 63'
  • yellowcard Marcus Müller 87'
  • yellowcard Niklas Niehoff 87'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Frederik Roslyng 90'+3'
2.Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adrian Kapralik 54' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Kasper Davidsen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kennet Eichhorn 3'
  • yellowcard Deyovaisio Zeefuik 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Linus Gechter 61'
  • yellowcard Luca Schuler 62'
  • goal Dawid Kownacki 75'
  • yellowcard Dawid Kownacki 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Tjark Ernst 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Haris Tabakovic 17' goal
  • Aymen Barkok 21' yellowcard
  • Haris Tabakovic 45' goal
  • Fabian Reese 65' yellowcard
  • Marten Winkler 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philipp Sander 54'
  • yellowcard Joshua Mees 69'
  • yellowcard Patrick Erras 73'
  • goal Finn-Dominik Porath 81'
  • goal Timo Becker 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Marcel Rapp 90'+8'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2023 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Marcel Rapp 12' yellowcard
  • Marvin Schulz 14' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Pichler 54' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 57' goal
  • Lewis Holtby 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Marvin Schulz 90'+7' redcard
  • Timo Becker 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marton Dardai 11'
  • goal Smail Prevljak 27'
  • goal Andreas Bouchalakis 39'
  • yellowcard Michal Karbownik 64'
  • goal Fabian Reese 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bence Dardai 90'+7'