2.Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
  • Jonas Föhrenbach 83' goal
  • Mikkel Kaufmann  86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas Therkelsen 38'
  • redcard Jonas Therkelsen 50'

Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30pm
Greuther Furth 0 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Jan Schöppner

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Nuremberg
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Heidenheim 40.84% ▲ (+0.50)
Draw 24.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Holstein Kiel 34.18% ▼ (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

61% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.7% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 19.3% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 37.55% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 3.5 62.45% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 4.5 22.7% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 77.3% ▼ (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Heidenheim 29.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 41.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Holstein Kiel 28.58% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Heidenheim 50.29% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Holstein Kiel 44.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 28.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 48.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 39.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 1.5 44.98% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 55.02% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 2.5 21.27% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 78.73% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 8.09% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 91.91% ▼ (-0.30)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 70.57% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 29.43% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 40.23% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 59.77% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 17.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 82.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 6.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.39% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 40.84%
Draw 24.94%
Holstein Kiel 34.17%
Heidenheim
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 40.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.94%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Voith-Arena
  • Marvin Pieringer 33' goal
  • Budu Zivzivadze 47' goal
  • Omar Traore 57' yellowcard
  • Sirlord Conteh 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Komenda 54'
  • yellowcard Phil Harres 78'
  • yellowcard Jann-Fiete Arp 85'
  • goal Phil Harres 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Patrick Erras 28' goal
  • Armin Gigovic 35' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Remberg 38' yellowcard
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 59' yellowcard
  • Magnus Knudsen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tim Siersleben 18'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 33'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mainka 68'
  • yellowcard Jan Schoppner 70'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 76'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patrick Mainka 2' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 68' goal
  • Jan-Niklas Beste 75' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2022 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steven Skrzybski 45' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 51' goal
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 66' goal
  • goal Denis Thomalla 31'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Lorenz 37' yellowcard
  • Simon Lorenz 56' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Husing 62'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schimmer 68'
  • goal Tim Kleindienst 71'
  • yellowcard Andreas Geipl 84'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Nov 21, 2021 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Christian Kuhlwetter 1' goal
  • Andreas Geipl 35' yellowcard
  • Robert Leipertz 85' goal
  • goal Fin Bartels 30'
  • yellowcard Alexander Muhling 39'
  • yellowcard Phil Neumann 87'