2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2026 12.30pm
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2026 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 Hertha Berlin
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Dynamo Dresden

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 12.30pm
Dynamo Dresden 2 - 0 Magdeburg
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jonas Sterner

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 37%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 36.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (4.91%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-0 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 36.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Dynamo Dresden 37% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.54%
Under 2.5 48.46%
Over 3.5 32.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.61% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 28.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 35.88% ▲ (+0.17)
Dynamo Dresden 35.27% ▼ (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 37.29%
No Goal 8.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Dynamo Dresden 53.99% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.9% ▲ (+0.39)
Equal 8 10.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 23.81% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 9 54.73% ▲ (+0.39)
Equal 9 11.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 34.1% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 10.5 43.59% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 10.5 56.41% ▼ (-0.38)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 36.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 63.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 15.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5 67.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.56%
Under 3.5 92.44%

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 36.83%
Draw 26.18%
Dynamo Dresden 37%
Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.18%
Dynamo Dresden
0-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)
  • Vincent Vermeij 14' goal
  • Vincent Vermeij 36' goal
  • Jakob Lemmer 69' yellowcard
  • Konrad Faber 69' yellowcard
  • Stefan Kutschke 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Tony Menzel 74' yellowcard
  • Christoph Daferner 88' yellowcard
  • Christoph Daferner 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bernhardsson 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Leon Parduzi 74'
  • yellowcard I. Ugoh 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • goal Phil Harres 81'
  • yellowcard Frederik Roslyng 82'
2.Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Phil Harres 29' goal
  • Ivan Nekic 51' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Andreas Pauli 5'
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 12'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Sollbauer 41' yellowcard
  • Michael Akoto 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Skrzybski 37'
  • yellowcard Julian Korb 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2021 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lewis Holtby 10' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Pichler 65' goal
  • Fabian Reese 66' goal
  • goal Heinz Morschel 32'
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 45'
  • yellowcard Christoph Daferner 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Robin Becker 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Jun 18, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 30' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Iyoha 45'+1' goal
  • Lion Lauberbach 80' goal
  • yellowcard Jannik Muller 35'
  • redcard Jannik Muller 39'
  • yellowcard Ondrej Petrak 72'
  • yellowcard Sascha Horvath 84'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2019 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT DDV-Stadion (Dresden)
  • Rene Klingenburg 20' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ehlers 47' yellowcard
  • Florian Ballas 56' yellowcard
  • Florian Ballas 79' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Iyoha 15'
  • goal Salih Ozcan 30'