2.Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 12.30pm
Greuther Furth 1 - 0 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 5.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld 3 - 1 Braunschweig
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Joel Grodowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld has a probability of 32.05% and a draw has a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win is 0-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 43.03%
Draw 24.99%
Arminia Bielefeld 32.05% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.14%
Under 3.5 69.86%
Over 4.5 17.17%
Under 4.5 82.83%

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 30.21%
Draw 38.42%
Arminia Bielefeld 31.37%

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 44.09%
No Goal 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Arminia Bielefeld 49.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.8%
Equal 8 9.73%
Under 8 21.48%
Over 9 57.97%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 31.2%
Over 10.5 46.92%
Under 10.5 53.08%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 41.79%
Under 1.5 58.21%
Over 2.5 18.18%
Under 2.5 81.82%
Over 3.5 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5 65.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 33.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.63%
Under 2.5 86.37%
Over 3.5 4.81%
Under 3.5 95.19%

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 43.03%
Draw 24.98%
Arminia Bielefeld 32.05%
Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.07%
Total : 43.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.98%
Arminia Bielefeld
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.05%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2026 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT SchücoArena
  • Maximilian Grosser 17' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Großer 17' yellowcard
  • Christopher Lannert 46' yellowcard
  • Roberts Uldrikis 64' yellowcard
  • Marius Worl 64' yellowcard
  • Marius Wörl 64' yellowcard
  • Joel Grodowski 70' yellowcard
  • Noah Sarenren Bazee 86' yellowcard
  • Noah Sarenren Bazee 87' goal
  • goal Leon Schneider 33' (OG)
  • goal Ivan Nekic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Kasper Davidsen 58'
  • yellowcard Adrian Kapralik 66'
  • yellowcard A. Kaprálik 66'
  • yellowcard Marco Komenda 67'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 74'
  • yellowcard Lasse Rosenboom 74'
2.Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steven Skrzybski 32' goal
  • Holmbert Fridjonsson 67' goal
  • goal Frederik Jakel 11'
  • goal Robin Hack 29'
  • goal Masaya Okugawa 55'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Sep 17, 2022 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Hack 1' goal
  • Janni-Luca Serra 36' goal
  • Masaya Okugawa 48' goal
  • Bryan Lasme 85' goal
  • goal Alexander Muhling 59'
  • goal Fin Bartels 68'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
May 30, 2020 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Alexander Muhling 51' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 23'
  • yellowcard Manuel Prietl 41'
  • goal Sven Schipplock 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sven Schipplock 90'+3'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2019 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT SchücoArena (Bielefeld)
  • Fabian Klos 33' goal
  • Stephan Salger 72' yellowcard
  • Andreas Voglsammer 73' goal
  • Nils Seufert 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas Meffert 64'
  • goal Emmanuel Iyoha 68'
  • yellowcard Salih Ozcan 77'