Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 38.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.