Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.