Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.