Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 0Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 4-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
43.2% ( 1.59) | 24.89% ( -0.04) | 31.91% ( -1.56) |
Both teams to score 56.99% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.83% ( -0.32) | 46.16% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% ( -0.3) | 68.46% ( 0.3) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( 0.61) | 21.4% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% ( 0.93) | 54.39% ( -0.93) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% ( -1.13) | 27.5% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37% ( -1.47) | 63% ( 1.47) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 43.2%
Aberystwyth Town 31.91%
Draw 24.89%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.91% |
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 06:30:58
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