Hellas Verona will be looking to bounce back from a heavy defeat last time out when they take on bottom side SPAL in their final home game of the Serie A campaign.
The Gialloblu were thrashed 5-1 by Lazio and are now jostling for position just outside the European spots, while SPAL picked up a rare point against Torino in their last outing.
Match preview
Verona were eighth in Serie A at the time of the three-month hiatus in March, four points off the top six.
European football was a realistic target for Ivan Juric's men, then, but they have dropped off the pace since then by winning just two of their 11 games since the restart.
Sunday's 5-1 hammering at the hands of Lazio, with Ciro Immobile helping himself to three more goals in that one, makes it seven matches without a win for Verona.
Juric's side have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 league games, while their tally of 44 goals scored is the lowest in the top half of the division by some way.
Still, with this being their first season back in the Italian top flight, Hellas can be pleased with their current standing of ninth with games against SPAL and Genoa to go.
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SPAL have not quite had a season to remember, finding themselves rock bottom of the division, some 16 points adrift of 17th-placed Genoa.
The Biancazzurri's fate has been known for quite some time now, with focus already switching to next season and another expected promotion push.
Luigi Di Biagio was appointed in February but has been unable to transform his side's fortunes, with SPAL failing to win any of their 10 matches post-lockdown.
That includes a run of eight defeats, although they did snatch a draw with Torino on Sunday thanks to Marco D'Alessandro's late goal at Stadio Paolo Mazza.
There is no getting away from just how poor they have been this term, however, perhaps best summed up by the fact that they have lost as many games as they have scored goals (26).
Hellas Verona's Serie A form: DDLDDL
SPAL's Serie A form: LLLLLD
Team News
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Marash Kumbulla, a rumoured target for a number of teams this summer, has missed Verona's last three games and will play no part against SPAL.
The hosts will also be without Giampaolo Pazzini, Claud Adjapong and Pawel Dawidowicz for this game, but Sofyan Amrabat made his return to the side last time out.
Juric has a decision to make up top, meanwhile, with Valentin Eysseric preferred to Valerio Verre for the heavy loss to Lazio.
As for SPAL, they also have a number of players sidelined, including the likes of Etrit Berisha, Alberto Cerri and Jacopo Sala.
Di Biagio opted for a five-man defence against Torino and that worked well, so Arkadiusz Reca may again miss out on selection.
Mohamed Fares returned from suspension at the weekend and will be hopeful of retaining his place, while D'Alessandro is pushing for inclusion after scoring against Torino.
Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Rrahmani, Gunter, Empereur; Faraoni, Amrabat, Veloso, Lazovic; Borini, Pessina; Salcedo
SPAL possible starting lineup:
Thiam; Cionek, Salamon, Vicari; Strefezza, Murgia, Missiroli, Dabo, Fares; D'Alessandro, Petagna
We say: Hellas Verona 1-0 SPAL
SPAL have avoided defeat in just 10 of their 36 matches this season and were thumped 6-1 by Roma a week ago. While Verona have dropped off the pace in recent weeks, this is the ideal fixture for them to return to winning ways and end their home campaign on a high.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
