US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK
BBVA Compass Field
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Birmingham Legion 0-1 Inter Miami
As bad as the Herons have been in MLS of late, Birmingham have been equally inconsistent and poor in the USL Championship, and players like Leonardo Campana and Josef Martinez have a lot more quality than most who feature in the second-tier of American soccer.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Birmingham Legion had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result |
| Birmingham Legion | Draw | Inter Miami |
36.93% ( 0.17) | 25.83% ( -0.02) | 37.23% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.07) |
| 50.56% ( 0.09) | 49.44% ( -0.09) |
| 28.52% ( 0.08) | 71.48% ( -0.08) |
| 73.95% ( 0.14) | 26.05% ( -0.14) |
