Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.