MX23RW : Monday, April 29 18:52:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio

Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDanubio
53.68% (-0.103 -0.1) 26.64% (0.067 0.07) 19.68% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63% (-0.17 -0.17)61.37% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (-0.127 -0.13)81.27% (0.131 0.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.119 -0.12)23.12% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.173 -0.17)56.98% (0.177 0.18)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)81.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.68%
    Danubio 19.68%
    Draw 26.62%
PenarolDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.71% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso107302314924
3NacionalNacional106402091122
4Defensor SportingDefensor104421913616
5Cerro Largo10433108215
6Boston RiverBoston River104331212015
7River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
8Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
9DanubioDanubio103341113-212
10LiverpoolLiverpool102531515011
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers102351016-69
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10226915-68
13CerroCerro101541118-78
14Rampla JuniorsRampla10226922-138
15Miramar Misiones101451420-67
16FenixFenix9045511-64


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