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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunelli (9'), Pereira (25'), Viera (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
53.14% (0.40600000000001 0.41) 25.98% (-0.15 -0.15) 20.89% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (0.274 0.27)58.04% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (0.216 0.22)78.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.288 0.29)21.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (0.434 0.43)55.23% (-0.43 -0.43)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.111 -0.11)43.04% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)79.33% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 53.13%
    River Plate 20.89%
    Draw 25.97%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.13%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
River Plate
1-1
Nacional
Borbas (67')
Laborda (54')
Coelho (17')
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Nacional
4-2
River Plate
Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
7Cerro Largo135351413118
8LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones121561523-88


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