Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Kolos Stadium
Kovalivka1 - 0Mariupol
Orikhovskyi (90+6' pen.)
Petrov (30')
Petrov (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chekh (40')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Mariupol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kolos Kovalivka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Mariupol |
| 43.06% | 26.09% | 30.86% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
