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Croatia national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
England national football team

Croatia U21s
1 - 2
England U21s

Bradaric (90+1')
Ivanusec (12'), Bradaric (45+3'), Spikic (62'), Zaper (87'), Biscan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eze (12' pen.), Jones (74')
Kelly (45'), Jones (48'), Tanganga (85'), Skipp (90')
Jones (90+8')

The Match

Match Report

England Under-21s missed the chance to go through to the quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Croatia Under-21s and England Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 43%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Croatia Under-21sDrawEngland Under-21s
43%22.84%34.16%
Both teams to score 65.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.35%35.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.29%57.7%
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84%17.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6%47.4%
England Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82%21.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95%54.05%
Score Analysis
    Croatia Under-21s 43%
    England Under-21s 34.16%
    Draw 22.84%
Croatia Under-21sDrawEngland Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-1 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 34.16%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Croatia U21s
3-3
England U21s
Brekalo (39', 82'), Vlasic (62')
Bradaric (93')
Nelson (11' pen.), Maddison (48'), Kenny (70')
Dowell (38'), Kenny (51')
Oct 14, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Croatia U21s
1-2
England U21s
Livaja (38')
Moore (9'), Hughes (73')
Hughes (57')
Oct 10, 2014 5.45pm
Qualifiers
England U21s
2-1
Croatia U21s
Kane (58'), Berahino (85' pen.)
Dier (69'), Moore (83')
Livaja (13')
Zuparic (49'), Pavicic (80'), Pasalic (81')
rhs 2.0
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