Besiktas have looked far from their best recently, but, with the quality they possess, we still expect them to take three points on Sunday.
The Black Eagles will know they need four victories to even stand a chance of finishing in the top four, and they should have what it takes to return to winning ways on their travels.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
