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Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
 
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Porto

Santos (16')
Vinagre (3'), Paulinho (14'), Neto (39'), Porro (43'), Cabral (51'), Adan (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diaz (71')
Costa (2'), Marcano (4'), Pepe (43'), Manafa (56'), Martinez (85')
Martinez (87')

Preview: Sporting Lisbon vs. Porto - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two of the "Big Three" in the Primeira Liga face off in a highly-anticipated round five fixture as Sporting Lisbon host Porto at the Estadio Jose Alvalade on Saturday.

The tie has all the makings of a proper contest as both sides are currently level on points at the upper echelons of the league standings.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Sporting Lisbon were denied a fourth win on the spin two Saturdays ago when they played out a surprise 1-1 draw against Famalicao at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao.

Despite being on the front foot for most of the game, an own goal from Nuno Mendes put the Famalicenses ahead in the 68th minute, but 26-year-old midfielder Joao Palhinha scored with eight minutes remaining on the clock to force a share of the spoils.

Prior to that, Ruben Amorim's side were on a blistering seven-game winning streak across all competitions, including a 2-1 win over Braga in the Supertaca final on July 31.

Sporting Lisbon, alongside Porto, are one of four sides unbeaten in the opening four games and have started their title defence on a good note.

Porto players celebrate scoring against Marseille in the Champions League on November 3, 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Saturday's visitors returned to winning ways in style as they cruised to a 3-0 victory over Arouca at the Estadio do Dragao last time out.

Sergio Conceicao's men raced to a two-goal lead inside the first 34 minutes through Mateus Uribe and Mehdi Taremi before Ivan Marcano completed the rout shortly after the hour mark.

This followed a disappointing 1-1 draw against Maritimo where Bruno Xadas cancelled out Luis Diaz's 35th-minute opener to end Porto's three-game winning streak.

Porto have now avoided defeat in their last 17 games across all competitions, picking up 13 wins and four draws since their 2-0 loss against Chelsea in the Champions League quarter-finals.

While the Dragoes will look to keep the juggernaut rolling, they face the stern test of squaring up against the reigning champions who they have failed to beat in their last three attempts, including the Taca da Liga final where they lost 2-1.

Next up for Porto is a highly-anticipated Champions League Group C curtain-raiser away to Atletico Madrid, while Sporting Lisbon welcome reigning Eredivisie champions Ajax.

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Porto Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Porto form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Promising full-back Nuno Mendes, who made 29 appearances for Sporting Lisbon last term, completed a deadline-day move to Ligue 1 heavyweight Paris Saint Germain in a deal which saw Spanish midfielder Pablo Sarabia head the other way.

Zouhair Feddal replaced Luis Neto in the back three last time out and we expect the Moroccan to keep his place in the starting XI, meaning he could team up with Sebastian Coates and Goncalo Inacio for the third game this season.

Meanwhile, Porto will once again take to the pitch without the services of first-choice goalkeeper Agustin Marchesin, who recently underwent surgery for a meniscus injury.

In his absence, Diogo Costa has been in decent form between the sticks for the Dragoes, making four saves and keeping two clean sheets in the opening four games.

Serbian midfielder Marko Grujic, who recently completed a permanent switch to the Estadio do Dragao, will also sit out the game after sustaining a muscle injury against Lyon back in May.

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Feddal, Coates, Inacio; Vinagre, Nunes, Palhinha, Esgaio; Goncalves, Cabral; Paulinho

Porto possible starting lineup:
D Costa; Mario, Pepe, Mbemba, Marcano; Otavio, B Costa, Uribe, Diaz; Taremi, Martinez


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Porto

Saturday's game sees two Portuguese heavyweights go toe to toe and we can expect a thrilling and riveting contest between the sides. Both sides head into the game in blistering form and we anticipate they will settle for a share of the spoils to maintain their fine run of games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
45.3%
Draw
36.0%
Porto
18.6%
86
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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