Serie B | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
2 - 1
Venezia

Candela (8'), Lisi (15')
Curado (19'), Lisi (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pohjanpalo (90+4')
Wisniewski (9'), Haps (57'), Novakovich (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Perugia
Sunday, December 11 at 11.30am in Serie B

Goals
for

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Cosenza
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Venezia
40.48% ( -0.26)	28.84% ( 0.04)	30.67% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

-0.07)

61.91% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

-0.05)

81.67% (

0.05)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

-0.19)

29.98% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

-0.23)

66.1% (

0.23)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.53% (

0.13)

36.46% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75% (

0.13)

73.25% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Perugia 40.48%

Venezia 30.67%

Draw 28.83%

Perugia	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.48%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.83%	0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.67%