Parma

2 - 0

Sudtirol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.