Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Monza |
45.72% ( -0.05) | 26.98% ( -0.13) | 27.3% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% ( 0.58) | 56.76% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% ( 0.46) | 77.7% ( -0.47) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( 0.23) | 24.77% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% ( 0.33) | 59.34% ( -0.33) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% ( 0.47) | 36.32% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.89% ( 0.47) | 73.11% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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