Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
39.69% | 28.39% | 31.92% |
Both teams to score 46.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% | 80.29% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% | 29.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% | 65.55% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.45% | 34.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.73% | 71.27% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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