Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
15.54% | 19.7% | 64.76% |
Both teams to score 53.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% | 40.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% | 62.93% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% | 38.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% | 75.69% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% | 11.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63% | 37% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.36% 1-0 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.54% | 1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.66% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.7% | 0-2 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 7.05% 0-4 @ 4% 1-4 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.32% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |