Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
29.7% | 24.19% | 46.11% |
Both teams to score 58.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% | 44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% | 66.38% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% | 63.48% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% | 19.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% | 50.94% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 7.21% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.7% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |