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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Ibanez (37'), Mancini (63'), Zaniolo (75')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Calhanoglu (15'), Dzeko (24'), Dumfries (39')
Barella (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Roma 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter's greatest foes Milan last punctured Roma's excellent home record in Serie A, and the impressive Nerazzurri can make it a double triumph for the second city on Saturday. Inzaghi has certainly put his own stamp on things in the champions' dugout, and the deeper, more harmonious squad at his disposal will help him overcome Mourinho's men in a tightly-fought capital skirmish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
29.7%24.19%46.11%
Both teams to score 58.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56%44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62%66.38%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51%63.48%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06%50.94%
Score Analysis
    Roma 29.7%
    Inter Milan 46.11%
    Draw 24.19%
RomaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 7.21%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.7%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-1 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4%
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.11%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
22.3%
Draw
11.5%
Inter Milan
66.2%
148
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Brozovic (11'), Vecino (20'), Lukaku (90')
Mkhitaryan (31')
Darboe (6'), Santon (28'), Kumbulla (71'), Karsdorp (82')
Jan 10, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-2
Inter Milan
Pellegrini (17'), Mancini (86')
Smalling (45+1'), Mancini (65'), Villar (76')
Skriniar (56'), Hakimi (63')
Lukaku (43'), Bastoni (67'), Perisic (90+5')
Jul 19, 2020 8.45pm
Dec 6, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 20, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Inter Milan
1-1
Roma
Perisic (61')
Vecino (62')
El Shaarawy (14')
Cristante (76'), Zaniolo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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