Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Crotone |
78.66% | 13.37% | 7.97% |
Both teams to score 51.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.22% | 30.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.86% | 52.14% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.79% | 6.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.54% | 23.46% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.71% | 45.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.84% | 81.16% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Crotone |
2-0 @ 10.86% 3-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.81% 4-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 5.54% 5-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.16% 5-1 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.8% 6-1 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.02% Total : 78.65% | 1-1 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 3.41% 0-0 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.37% | 1-2 @ 2.45% 0-1 @ 2.23% Other @ 3.29% Total : 7.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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