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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Crotone logo

Napoli
4 - 3
Crotone

Insigne (19'), Osimhen (22'), Mertens (34'), Di Lorenzo (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Simy (25', 48'), Messias (59')
Rispoli (19'), Benali (67'), Pereira (78'), Rojas Zamora (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawCrotone
78.66%13.37%7.97%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86%52.14%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79%6.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54%23.46%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71%45.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84%81.16%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.65%
    Crotone 7.97%
    Draw 13.37%
NapoliDrawCrotone
2-0 @ 10.86%
3-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.81%
4-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 5.54%
5-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-1 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.8%
6-1 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 78.65%
1-1 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 3.41%
0-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.37%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-1 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 7.97%

How you voted: Napoli vs Crotone

Napoli
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Crotone
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 10
Crotone
0-4
Napoli

Cuomo (45'), Pereira (53'), Reca (67')
Petriccione (50')
Insigne (31'), Lozano (58'), Demme (76'), Petagna (90+1')
Koulibaly (6'), Lobotka (81'), Politano (84')
May 20, 2018 5pm
Dec 29, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2017 2pm
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
Insigne (32' pen., 70'), Mertens (66' pen.)
Rog (27')

Martella (42'), Crisetig (54'), Ferrari (87')
Oct 23, 2016 2pm
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
Rossi (89')
Ferrari (32'), Crisetig (89')
Callejon (18'), Maksimovic (33')
Gabbiadini (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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