Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
42.24% ( -0.34) | 27.32% ( 0.11) | 30.44% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 48.64% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.35% ( -0.32) | 56.65% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -0.26) | 77.62% ( 0.26) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% ( -0.33) | 26.49% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% ( -0.44) | 61.68% ( 0.44) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.17% ( 0.01) | 33.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( 0) | 70.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.24% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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