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Serie A
Frosinone logo
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Fiorentina logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 2-2 Fiorentina

 Frosinone have averaged over two goals per game on home turf this term, so should be expected to score at least once against a hit-and-miss Fiorentina side being tested by an intense schedule. Amid a run of six games in 17 days, the Viola may slip up at Stadio Stirpe, where their hosts have proved impressive so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
27.11% (0.441 0.44) 24.96% (0.426 0.43) 47.94% (-0.867 -0.87)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-1.497 -1.5)48.95% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-1.368 -1.37)71.04% (1.369 1.37)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.447 -0.45)32.31% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.508 -0.51)68.81% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.95899999999999 -0.96)20.45% (0.958 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-1.543 -1.54)52.91% (1.543 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 27.11%
    Fiorentina 47.93%
    Draw 24.95%
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Fiorentina

Frosinone
23.5%
Draw
35.8%
Fiorentina
40.7%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715
> Serie A Full Table


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